Amidst the frenzy of AI, a new category of infrastructure vendor has emerged: The inference provider. This white-hot newish(ish) vertical is producing some pretty big headlines for a category that, as we’ll see, is often overshadowed by big AI labs like OpenAI and Anthropic. TogetherAI is in talks to raise at $7.5B, Fireworks raised at $4B last year, and Modal is in talks to raise at $2.5B – all of these are doubling and doubling every few months it would seem. NVIDIA splashed $20 billion for Groq’s inference chip technology in December, its largest acquisition to date.
So yes, inference is white hot. But what do these companies actually do? And why are they worth so much money?
Let’s dig in, shall we?
What’s inference?#
AI didn’t take long to become totally ubiquitous. It answers your questions, summarizes your meeting notes, codes up your apps, and, if you're a bad friend, writes your birthday cards. All of it, every AI product you touch, boils down to two things: training and inference.
Training is how a model learns. You take a massive amount of text and use it to produce a mathematical equation that captures patterns in language: what words tend to follow what, how ideas relate to each other, what a reasonable response to a question looks like. Models like GPT and Claude were trained on enormous amounts of text from the internet, and what emerged are systems that can produce generally fluent, useful language.
Inference is when the model actually does its job. Every time you send a message to ChatGPT and it responds, that's inference. Every time Claude summarizes a document or an AI coding assistant autocompletes a function, that's inference too. It's the model taking what it learned during training and applying it to your input, in real time.
Training models has historically been the sexy part of AI, done by people in glasses, wearing turtlenecks, and holding PhDs. They are paid many dollars. Serving models, on the other hand is plumbing, but as it turns out, as every company races to add AI to their app, the plumbers are doing pretty well for themselves. Dedicated inference providers have emerged as a major force in the AI application stack, offering a convenient managed inference service for developers building AI-powered features.
In its purest and most managed form, the OpenAI and Anthropic (we’ll call them frontier labs) APIs are AI inference providers. They have both trained the models and set them up for you to use easily. You make an API call: (“write my wedding vows”) and get back an inference: (“Webster’s dictionary defines love as…”). So what are we talking about here? Why would you use something special?